Why FedEx's Warning Mattered So Much


On Friday, September 16, 2022, FedEx (FDX) pre-announced that it would 

miss earnings expectations. It also withdrew its guidance. FedEx lost 21.4% 

of its value that day. It sent Nasdaq, the S&P 500, and Dow Jones lower 

before those indexes recovered slightly by the end of the day. FedEx is the 

proverbial canary in the coal mine. It reflects the economic activity of nearly 

all levels. E-commerce firms rely heavily on parcel delivery. The delivery 

company’s business update confirms what technology investors feared the most.

The slowdown will continue into the rest of the year. FedEx expects revenue 

of $23.2 billion, compared to $22 billion reported last fiscal year. Operating 

income will fall from $1.4 billion last year to $1.19 billion in fiscal 2023. Its 

diluted income will fall from $4.09 to $3.33. The firm is taking a business 

optimization cost of seven cents a share. Its business realignment cost will 

remove four cents a share from its earnings for the year. Global volume software

is hurting the firm revenue. This worsened in the final weeks of its quarter. In 

Asia, China’s unnecessary zero Covid mandate weakened the economy in the 

region. In Europe, energy prices will keep rising. FedEx is warning investors

that Europe and China remain high-risk investment areas.